Wassily Leontief
(1905 - 1999) |
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New York
Times Obituary, 1999 by Holcomb B. Noble
http://www.wright.edu/~tdung/obit-leontief.htm
Wassily Leontief, who won the Nobel
prize in economics in 1973 for his analyses of
America's production machinery, showing how changes in
one sector of the economy
can exact changes all along the line, affecting
everything from the price of oil to the
price of peanut butter, died Friday night (February 5)
at the New York University
Medical Center. He was 93.
His analytic methods, as the Nobel committee observed,
were adopted and became a
permanent part of production planning and forecasting in
scores of industrialized nations
and in private corporations all over the world.
Following the model of his so-called input-output
analysis, General Electric, for
example, was able to load data from 184 sectors of the
economy -- such as energy, home
construction and transportation -- into a mammoth
computer to help it predict how the
energy crisis brought on by the Arab oil boycott in 1973
would affect public demand for
its products and services, from light bulbs to turbines.
A well-known academic figure, Leontief was the director
of the Institute for Economic
Analysis of New York University from 1975 until 1991;
even after his retirement he still
taught at the university into his 90's. Before coming to
N.Y.U. he taught economics at
Harvard for 44 years and directed large research
projects there as well.
Then he came to the United States
and worked briefly in New York at the National Bureau of
Economic Research, where his published work quickly
attracted attention, and Harvard invited him to join
its economics faculty. He agreed, provided the
university help him develop his ideas about production.
Harvard gave him a research assistant and a $2,000 grant
to develop the system of input-output analysis that the
world was to adopt. He and his assistant began
constructing a table covering 42 American industries,
taking months to compile figures and perform
calculations that computers would latter handle in
fractions of seconds.
During the war, he helped the United States
Government with planning for industrial production,
worked as a consultant to the Office of Strategic
Services and supervised compilation of a
92-economic-sector table for the Department of Labor. In
1948, Leontief set up the Harvard Research Project on
the Structure of the American Economy with the aid of
large grants from the Ford and Rockefeller Foundations
and the Air Force to expand and refine his input-output
models. Soon he had a staff of 20 -- and a
650-punch-card computer from I.B.M., then the
state-of-the art.
He did not, however, keep the Air Force grant long once
the Eisenhower Administration came to power; some of its
officials were critical of his input-output theory as
smacking too much of a planned economy. That was
precisely what he thought it should smack of.
One of his goals in studying the nature of changes in
industrial production was to enable nations to plan in
ways that would be economically beneficial and help them
avoid periods of economic hardship...
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Nobel Prize in Economics 1973 -
Autobiography
http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/1973/leontief-autobio.html
Having come to the
conclusion that so-called partial analysis cannot
provide a sufficiently broad basis for fundamental
understanding of the structure and operation of economic
systems, I set out in 1931 to formulate a general
equilibrium theory capable of empirical implementation.
Received a research grant for compilation of the first
input-output tables of the American economy (for the
years 1919 and 1929) in 1932. Began to make use of a
large scale mechanical computing machine in 1935 and
Mark I (the first large-scale electronic computer) in
1943.
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Paul Samuelson, "Our Wassily"
Thanks only in part to Adolf
Hitler, the foreign rescuers were on their way:
Schumpeter from Austria and Weimar Germany; Haberler
from Vienna and the League of Nations. It must have been
the newly-arrived-in-Cambridge Schumpeter who plucked
Leontief from a brief National Bureau stint to Harvard.
(I suspect Schumpeter fastened on Leontief as a genius
on the basis of the 24-year-old’s German article on how
to identify demand and supply elasticities from a
time-series sample--a brilliant investment decision even
if not 100% cogent.)
Schumpter inset
http://www.cooperativeindividualism.org/schumpeterbio.html
http://mises.org/daily/5857/Joseph-A-Schumpeter-Maverick-and-Enigma
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New School
for Social Research: Profile - Wassily Leontief
Wassily
Leontief's name has been associated with a particular
type of quantitative economics:
input-output analysis.
Input-output was partly inspired by the
Marxian
and
Walrasian
analysis of
general equilibrium via interindustry flows - which
in turn were inspired by
Quesnay's
Tableau
Economique, and was the outgrowth of the "multi-sectoral"
approach followed by the
Kiel
School. Although of
fluctuating popularity, input-output analysis has been a
mainstay of economics and economic policy and planning
throughout the world for the past half-century.
Raised in
Russia, Leontief obtained his Ph.D in Berlin. Although
the seeds of input-output analysis were already in his
work at the
Kiel
Institute, he would
have to wait until he reached
Harvard
in 1932 to begin
constructing an empirical example of his input-output
system - an effort which gave rise to his 1941 classic,
Structure of American Industry. Leontief followed
up this work with a series of classical papers on
input-output economics (collected in 1966). Input-output
was novel and inspired large-scale
empirical
work. It has been
used for economic planning throughout the world, whether
in Western, Socialist or Third World countries.
It was also of
crucial theoretical importance. Input-output inspired
the analysis of linear production systems, which were
instrumental in the development of modern
Neo-Walrasian
theory. Unusual for
most economic contributions, Leontief's system was also
crucial for the revival of
Classical
Ricardian theory.
The structure of input-output (albeit with some critical
differences) was employed by Piero
Sraffa
and the
Neo-Ricardians
in the 1960s to
resurrect the theories of
Ricardo
and
Marx.
Leontief's
contributions to economics were not limited to
input-output. His 1936 article on "composite
commodities" made him, together with
Hicks,
the father of that famous microeconomic theorem. His
early reviews of
Keynes's
General Theory
(1936, 1937, 1947, 1948) were important stepping
stones to the
Neo-Keynesian
synthesis's stress on fixed nominal wages in
interpreting Keynes's theory. His 1933 article on the
analysis of international trade is still learnt today
and his 1946 contribution on the wage contract outlined
what is now a classical application of the
principal-agent model before that term was invented. One
of his more stirring contributions has been his 1953
finding that Americans were exporting labor-intensive
rather than capital- intensive goods - the "Leontief
Paradox" - which brought into question the validity of
the conventional factor-proportions theory of
international trade.
After having
presided, together with
Schumpeter,
as a teacher over the
Harvard
generation of the
1930s which was to develop much of post-war economics,
Leontief moved to the C.V. Starr Center at New York
University. As a critic, Leontief's repeated
admonishment of economics for its misuse of mathematics
and quantitative methods and the lack of relevance and
realism in its theorizing (e.g. 1938, 1954, 1959, 1971)
are both lucid, sharp and still pertinent. It was for
his development of input-output that Wassily Leontief
won the
Nobel
memorial prize in
1973.
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Additional Reading:
The
Leontief-BLS Partnership: a new framework for measurement
Perkins - Jewish immigrants
http://www.francesperkinscenter.org/refugees.html
http://www.thefreelibrary.com/The+life+of+Frances+Perkins.-a0206106644
http://www.channelingreality.com/Helsinki/Marshall_Plan/Basal_ERC_John_Snyder_Papers.pdf
http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/ces/cesbookapen13.html |
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1 FDR Library Online, Collections
http://docs.fdrlibrary.marist.edu:8000/findbrow.cgi?collection=Lubin,+Isador
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